Snow showers continue in the high elevations for Thursday before tapering off this evening as the storm moves east of the area. A pleasant and mostly sunny weekend. A more active and colder pattern arrives for next week.
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Short Term Forecast
Our low pressure system continues to spin to our south down in northwestern Arizona. That has been sending waves of moisture north into Utah. Snow continued off and on last night in the mountains of southern Utah. Not sure how much additional accumulation was received. I got reports of a foot of snow at Brian Head yesterday with more than a foot at Eagle Point. Here are a couple photos from yesterday at Eagle Point:
Looks ready to ski! Here is a live image of sunrise this morning:
Looks like at least a couple more inches since yesterday evening.
Farther north, the storm has, as expected, been a bit less impressive. Still, parts of the Wasatch south of I-80 have seen 4-6" of snow so far. Particularly areas that do well in an uncommon SE flow. Deer Valley always seems to do well in southerly flows. And an easterly flow suggests its location on the Wasatch back is ideal. Here is their webcam this morning:
Looks almost like mid-winter up there! Amazing what a difference one storm can make in mountain aesthetics.
Today we will continue to have occasional snow showers in high elevation areas throughout the state. These showers will wane as the low ejects east of the state by this evening. I would only expect an inch or two here or there today.
We clear out by Friday with mostly sunny conditions thru the weekend.
Next storm pushes in Monday. This system doesn't look too impressive, but light to moderate accumulations are possible. The other impact will be plenty of cold air that will last through Thanksgiving. Good chance snow levels will drop to valley floors behind the cold front. This is going to allow resorts to supplement natural snow will round-the-clock snowmaking next week.
Another storm looks possible either Wednesday (27th) or Thursday (28th). Models really struggling with how to handle this storm. There is a chance it could slide down the coast with the best dynamics sinking south of Utah. Something to watch...
Overall, composite WPC precip for the next week looks pretty good for Utah:
Not huge amounts, but the mountains show between 1-2" of liquid between now and Thanksgiving Day. That could easily equate to 1-2 feet of snow.
As we head in December, the models generally agree on an active pattern, but exactly how snowy it is will depend on several factors -- most notably the high pressure ridge off the coast. If it's too close to the coast, it could pinch off moisture and limit storm potential. If it moves far enough west, we could see more significant storms. We will continue to track this.
Evan | OpenSnow
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